What's it Worth?

There are a number of ways to understand the value of your property ranging from free to a few hundred dollars. You can go it alone and compare properties with similar rating valuations and features in the area that have sold recently, you can get in touch with your local real estate agent for an appraisal, purchase an E-valuer or a Full Market Valuation or both. A combination of a few of these options can give you a good indication of what your property will likely sell for.

Any Renovations or Additions?

Two houses in the same location, of similar size and with the same reserve price, can sell for a big difference in value. It begs the question, how do you add the most value to a home, and what value do high specifications add in today’s property market?

It may be worth spending more on “high spec” features for homes at the high end of the market, but for more modest priced homes you have to be careful not to over-capitalise, or overspend on improvements that won’t increase the value of your home.

Whether or not “high specification” adds value differs between suburbs and value ranges because of the demographics of an area. Different buyers value different things.

Spending money on kitchens and bathrooms will usually add value to a home. But if you want to know whether to spend $10,000 or $30,000 on your bathroom makeover you need to consider the overall value and location of your home. On a higher priced property you are likely to add at least the value of a ‘high spec’ bathroom but at the lower end then you might be better to spend $10,000 instead. A modern kitchen that doesn’t break the bank will still add value to a home. But if you spend $40,000 on a kitchen in a modest home, you may not get the same value back.

Relaying carpet or replacing the roof won’t add value to your property, carpets are a chattel and roofs fall under repairs and maintenance. A roof is expected to be functional and do its job. You will lose money if leaks otherwise it is just a cost. You wouldn’t replace a roof unless it’s needed. As long as the roof of the dwelling is well maintained, functional and in reasonable condition the value will not be impacted by the roof.

Landscaping can add a significant amount of value a property. However it may not be a direct relationship between value spent and value added. The added value of well-presented landscaping is generally on the overall saleability of a home through increased street appeal/utility. It is a great way to get potential purchasers through your home on open homes.

In regards to how much should be spent on landscaping, again it depends on the overall value level and type of property. The market expectation of the level of landscaping in a high value suburb is significantly greater than that of a lower value suburb.

The nature of the property can also dictate the nature of the landscaping and site development utilised. For example if you own a high end character villa you ideally want to keep that timber picket fence out front rather than replace it with something more modern.

Property owners should consider the nature of their property and the wider neighbourhood before commencing any major landscaping works.

Another example of this could be replacing timber joinery in a villa/character bungalow with modern aluminium joinery as this does not enhance the character and detracts from the value.

Garaging is another element that is also very dependent on the locality of the property. In areas which have larger land sites and generally more space, a new garage may not add much in value. However, in inner city suburbs where land is at a premium and the lots are much smaller and off street parking is scarce, a garage could add a significant amount of value to your property.

If you have done significant work it might be worth investing in a Full Market Valuation to get an understanding of the worth of your property.

Valuation Options

Rating Valuation

  • only updated every three years for the purpose of your local council
  • established using a mass appraisal process
  • often used when buying and selling as an indicative price.

E-valuer

  • an instant, online estimate of the current market value for a property
  • based on recent, nearby comparable sales
  • often used for establishing the current value when making an offer or wanting to sell your property.

A Full Market Valuation is:

  • completed by a Registered Valuer
  • based upon a full inspection of your property as well as related sales in the area being analysed
  • typically used for a variety of reasons, including securing finance when buying

For more information visit Valuations and Reports

Understanding the Market

Deciding the right time to buy or sell doesn’t have to be a guessing game.  By getting to know the market as it stands, as well as the general trends that have long been established, your end goal, be it buying or selling, can hopefully be achieved within your required timeframe. 

Buyers’ vs sellers’ market

One thing to look at when you decide to enter into the property market is whether your area is currently a buyers’ market or a sellers’ market.

In simple terms a buyers’ market benefits the people looking to buy a property. Generally, there are more properties on the market than buyers. Sellers are essentially vying for their attention as sales are harder to come by in this environment. Buyers can benefit through increased negotiations over price as well having more choice and less competition regarding the properties they are looking at.

A seller’s market on the other hand is essentially the opposite. There are multiple buyers looking and fewer properties for sale. This generally forces more competition and can increase sale prices as a result.

If you are selling and buying at the same time, it can be a bit of a balancing act depending on the current market environment. For example, if house prices are generally on the rise this can be great for when you sell. But it also means you may be forced to pay extra, or over the odds, for a property when you buy. Reversely, if house prices are low you may get a good deal buying but when you come to sell you own, it may not reach your full expectations.

You can get an idea of how the market is playing out by keeping an eye on our latest monthly value statistics and market commentary. You can also register with us to receive them as part of our email newsletter.

The seasonal impact

Across the seasons, you will generally encounter different times for when it is most affective to buy and sell.

Although each year can differ depending on the economic climate, generally speaking the autumn and spring seasons are when most of the property sales occur. Even what seem like the smallest things, like extra sunlight and warmth, can affect how a house is viewed. As a result these seasons are more conducive to properties changing hands. Summer would seem like a good time also; however, a lot of people in the market can buy or sell before or after, avoiding the busy Christmas and New Year period.

Other factors to consider

There are many other factors you need to consider when you decide to buy or sell a property. Regardless of market conditions and current trends, you need to look at your personal circumstances. If you need to sell by a certain time for example, you don’t have a choice. However, perhaps trying to sell earlier and having a later settlement date, instead of starting to sell close to any deadline date would be a better option.

Some other important factors that you need to consider include:

Economic climate – is the current climate meaning people are holding onto their money?

Interest rates – are they low and making buying an easier prospect for you?

Neighbourhood developments – is a nearby eyesore going to affect whether you buy a property, or how does it impact you when selling? Or is something like a motorway extension or an airport expansion going to affect your home?

Defining features of your property – is there something that sets your property apart from ones nearby? Or, is a characteristic of your property highly sought after at the moment?


Latest News & Articles

 

In the first quarter of 2019, first home buyers (FHBs) and mortgaged multiple property owners (investors) each accounted for 24% of property purchases. For a long period of time, investors had a much larger market share, but LVR III (40% deposit) dampened their activity from October 2016 and meanwhile FHBs have slowly and surely kept raising their presence. This is not to say that there is always direct competition between the two groups, or that an investor buying is always locking out a FHB (or vice versa). But it’s still interesting that their market shares are similar and these may well continue to be the two groups to watch for the rest of 2019.
 
CoreLogic Senior Property Economist Kelvin Davidson writes:
 
The Q1 data for Buyer Classification is now complete and it confirms that ‘movers’ (existing owner occupiers) are less active than in the past, with first home buyers (FHBs) and mortgaged multiple property owners (MPOs) the key groups of interest at present.
 
Over the first three months of the year, ‘movers’ accounted for 27% of property purchases, which is down a touch from 28% a year ago and from 29% in Q1 2017. With the next step up the property-buying ladder still hard to achieve – e.g. due to the transactions costs (legal, estate agent), as well as any extra equity/debt required – it’s not really surprising that more movers are happy to stay put, and perhaps renovate instead.
 
NZ % share of purchases (Source: CoreLogic)
 
Meanwhile, as the first chart shows, the gap between FHBs and mortgaged multiple property owners (MPOs, or investors) remains tight, with both sitting on 24% of purchases in Q1 (albeit at one decimal place MPOs are slightly ahead of FHBs, at 23.9% versus 23.7%). From the LVR III-induced trough for mortgaged MPOs of 22% in Q4 2017, they’ve slowly crept back into the market on the back of more finance becoming available again. And their comeback is despite several new rules from the government which have raised costs (e.g. extra insulation, changes to negative gearing).
 
Auckland % share of purchases (Source: CoreLogic)
 
For FHBs, although the strong upwards trend from 2014 to mid-2018 has flattened off in the past 3-6 months, their share of purchases is still high in an historical context. The ability to tap their KiwiSaver funds for a deposit, alongside a willingness to compromise on location/property type, are key factors keeping FHBs’ share of purchases high. CoreLogic figures show that as part of that compromise, FHBs are entering many markets around the country at prices 15-20% lower than the area’s average.
 
Wellington % share of purchases (Source: CoreLogic)
 
 
The national patterns largely apply in Auckland with movers relatively quiet and mortgaged investors ‘hanging in there’. What is an interesting aspect of the Auckland market at present is that despite average values being >$1m, FHBs are not just a strong presence, but they’re actually the largest individual buyer group with a 27% share (see the second chart). It’s a similar story in Wellington too, albeit in the capital mortgaged investors have perked up lately and their share of purchases (30%) has risen back above FHBs (see the third chart).
 
 Lower Hutt % share of purchases (Source: CoreLogic)
 
 
Although FHBs still have a decent presence in Wellington City, one clear option for those priced out is to purchase in the Hutt Valley and this is something that’s often heard about anecdotally. But our stats illustrate it emphatically – as the fourth chart shows, FHBs have a very strong market share in Lower Hutt (as well as in Upper Hutt and Porirua).
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
We’ve been asked a few times whether the dips in average Auckland property values lately reflect weakness in the top end of the market or the lower end. In fact, it’s not so much about high versus low value brackets within each area; it’s more about the areas themselves. The sluggishness of overall values has been centred in Auckland City and North Shore, with Rodney and Papakura as examples still increasing slightly. No real surprises there, given that affordability is the worst in the first two areas.
 
CoreLogic Senior Property Economist Kelvin Davidson writes:
 
Auckland’s average property value has fallen by 1.5% over the past year. That isn’t a full-on downturn, but given low affordability and high levels of listings (hence plenty of buyer choice), it’s not surprising that pricing is ticking down to get some sales over the line. This is something we’ll be keeping a very close eye on. But within that sluggish overall picture, we’ve been asked a few times about how the various segments of the market are faring, in terms of low value versus top-end properties. Are the highest value properties dragging down the market, or is the lower end the culprit?
 

Manukau - annual % change in median value by 20% quintile value brackets (Source: CoreLogic)
 
So to get stuck into the data, ever since Auckland’s market as a whole stopped rising (late 2016), it’s actually been a pretty consistent story across different parts of the city and across the value bands*. Take Manukau for example, where all the value brackets have had similar growth rates in the past two years or so, albeit with lower value properties tending to outperform, as they were also doing very clearly in 2015-16 (see the first chart).
 

North Shore - annual % change in median value by 20% quintile value brackets (Source: CoreLogic)

 

North Shore has displayed a similar pattern in terms of a tight growth range across the value bands, albeit with more of those brackets now displaying price falls (see the second chart). Of course, within these value bands, there will also be greater divergences – e.g. we know from the CoreLogic QV House Price Index that some properties in North Shore Coastal are dropping more sharply.
 
Looking at things in a different way, we can cumulate the changes over the full five-year period and this reveals other interesting patterns. In Auckland City (old territorial authority area) the rises have been relatively uniform, ranging from 43% in the lowest quintile up to 48% in the highest. By contrast, in Papakura, there’s been much stronger gains for low value property (68%) versus high value (45%) – see the third chart.
 
Total % change in median property values by quintile (Source: CoreLogic)
 
So when you look over a longer history, cheaper property within generally cheaper areas has risen more strongly than the more expensive areas (note that the median value for the low to mid band in Auckland City is $996,000, $20,000 higher than even the top band in Papakura of $976,000). Of course, that’s not surprising, given that it’s more affordable and has had some scope for ‘catch-up’ growth.
 
Even after that period of outperformance by lower value stock, however, the ratio of high to low values in places like Waitakere and Franklin is still much lower than Auckland City for example (see the fourth chart). In other words, there may be some room here for lower value property to continue to outperform higher value segments across much of Auckland over the coming years (even if that takes the form of only small price rises while top-end properties flat-line or tick lower).
 
So what does this all mean? The bottom line is that Auckland’s recent weakness in overall property values isn’t so much about high versus low value property within the different areas, but more about the areas versus each other. Auckland City and North Shore are generally the weakest and are outweighing continued small rises (or flat values) in cheaper areas such as Rodney and Papakura.
 

 

Rental growth is now outpacing property values. Interestingly, the highest rental yields can now be found outside the main centres. Simultaneously, the 10 lowest yielding suburbs are all located in Auckland. Factor in the dip in values in these expensive parts of Auckland, total returns over the past year haven’t been that flash. Meanwhile, the tax ring-fence on rental property losses (which kicked in on Monday), will also knock the returns for some investors, although we don’t anticipate that it will have a major market-wide impact.
 
CoreLogic Senior Property Economist Kelvin Davidson writes:
 
After a long period where average property values rose more quickly than rents, and hence gross rental yields fell, the situation has been reversing a little in recent months (see the first chart). Since the start of 2018, rents have been outpacing property values, and in the year to February 2019, the rise in national rents (5.6%) wasn’t far off double the increase in values (3.0%).
 
Change in average property values and rents (Sources: MBIE and CoreLogic )
 
Of course, it needs to be noted that this hasn’t been due to a pick-up in rents (which are often anchored by tenants’ income growth, which lately has been subdued), rather the slowdown in property value growth. But either way, gross rental yields have begun to tick upwards again (see the second chart) and, although they’re still low (3.3%), that will start to look more appealing to potential new investors in residential property.
 
Gross rental yields (Sources: MBIE and CoreLogic)
 
So how do things look around NZ and what’s happening to investors’ total returns* (i.e. rental yield + value changes)? Starting with the 10 suburbs/towns around the country with the highest gross rental yields**, shown in the third chart, we can see that there are some pretty attractive numbers on offer to landlords – such as a yield of 9.0% in Wairoa (Wairoa District) and 8.7% in Appleby (Invercargill City). Add in the growth that some of these areas have also seen in property values over the past year and the total returns look even more impressive – typically at least 20% for the areas in this list.
 
Gross rental yields and total return (Sources: MBIE and CoreLogic)
 
 
At the other end of the spectrum, the lowest yielding suburbs are unsurprisingly all in Auckland (see the fourth chart). Herne Bay, for example, only has a gross rental yield of 1.3% (weekly rent of $650 and property value of $2.59m) and when you also factor in its dip in median values of 2.3% over the past year (as well as the fact that gross yields don’t account for all the usual operating costs of being a landlord), total returns start to look a bit depressing. Orakei, Devonport, and Epsom also stand out for the wrong reasons on this measure - of course, given the huge capital gains that these suburbs have seen over the longer term, a negative total return over the most recent 12 months probably hasn’t been a huge concern for too many people.
 
Gross rental yields and total return (Sources: MBIE and CoreLogic)
 
Looking ahead, it wouldn’t be a surprise to see gross rental yields continue to rise in the coming months, as property values remain subdued and rents maintain their normal consistent pace of growth. Given the extra regulations and costs currently being imposed on landlords by the government, a rise in gross yields would clearly be a welcome trend for many investors. Of note is that the tax ring-fence for rental property losses came into force on Monday, so we’ll be watching closely over the next few months for any signs that investors are altering their behaviour, such as buying fewer properties and perhaps selling some of their existing holdings.
 
 
 
 

 

NZ Property values have grown by only 0.5% this calendar year, with the annual rate of growth slowing to 2.6% at the end of last month.
 
According to the CoreLogic QV April House Price Index results, Auckland values continue to fall, with the index dropping 0.4% in March.  This takes the annual figure to -1.5%, which is the biggest annual fall since the Global Financial Crisis 10 years ago. For full context though it’s worth noting that aside from minor monthly fluctuation, values have effectively plateaued for two and a half years now and across the Super City the average price is still higher than in September 2016. This is when the property party in Auckland essentially stopped, with funding considerably tightened, both by way of higher loan-to-value ratio requirements and more stringent bank expense testing.
 
Index results as at 1 April 2019
 
Head of Research, Nick Goodall says that “Low affordability in conjunction with responsible lending standards and high levels of listings meaning plenty of choice for buyers remain an ongoing drag on Auckland’s property values. We had already seen a significant drop in sales volumes (14% drop compared to the previous summer) alongside an extension in the median number of days to sell a property (58 in February according to REINZ), so with values also declining it appears some vendors have been adjusting their expectations when it comes to achieving a successful sale.” 
 
“Growth across the rest of NZ’s main centres has also shown some moderation, with the exception of Tauranga where values were up by 1.1% according to the monthly index at the end of March.”
 
Rolling change in property values, national
 
Similarly, nearby Rotorua bucked the trend of general moderation in growth among the other main urban areas with annual growth surging to 12.6% from 9.4% at the end of February.
 
The most interesting development in relation to the property market over the last month was the Reserve Bank’s change of stance on the potential future of the Official Cash Rate (OCR). 
 
The introduction of the sentence ‘the more likely direction of our next OCR move is down’ as part of their release last month came as a surprise to many commentators and is good news for current and future mortgage holders. 
 
The OCR is only one factor influencing mortgage interest rates, and it’s unlikely they will fall any further off the back of any OCR drop  - due to other bank funding costs, but it does push out the horizon for a potential increase. This provides more certainty for those owners currently paying a mortgage, likely at very low interest rates. And it may also guard the Bank against the probably of rates rising if and when they increase the capital requirements of the retail banks.
 
The detailed House Price Index results reveal where the weakness in Auckland is most keenly felt, with the more expensive Coastal North Shore (average value 1.36m) seeing a 4.1% drop over the last year. Meanwhile for the Onewa area within North Shore (average value $963k) values decreased by only 0.8%.
 
There’s a similar split in the old Auckland City area, with the more expensive eastern area, (including Remuera and Epsom), with an average of $1.54m, decreasing by 1.6% annually compared to a 0.4% drop in the ‘cheaper’ southern area (including Mount Roskill and Onehunga) with an average value of $1.09m.
 
In the east of Manukau (average value $1.14m) the trend continues as values here are down 2.0% in the last 12 months compared to a minor drop of 0.3% in the North West (average value $777k).
 
The Hibiscus Coast, with an average value of $928k, is the only part of Auckland to see growth over the past 12 months (0.9%). 
 
Elsewhere, the inconsistent growth in both Hamilton and Tauranga has continued, with Tauranga experiencing a stronger March but longer term more constrained growth. A modest rate of 3.7% annual growth epitomises the last 18 months when the annual growth rate has bounced around between 1% and 5%. In Hamilton the annual rate picked up in September 2018, has moved between 4% and 6% since, and ended March 2019 at 4.5%.
 
In Dunedin, the annual growth rate of 13.3% remains the highest among the main centres, however the rate of growth did slow from 14.3% the previous month.
 
Property values in the wider Wellington region have recently seen greater growth than the other main centres in the North Island and that held true according to March’s index, with the annual rate shifting sideways to 8.4%. Within the region the more affordable Upper Hutt City (average value $$542k) has seen the greatest growth over the past 12 months, at 12.3%.
 
House Price Index, Main Centres Relative to December 2003
 
Further north in Whanganui, property value growth appears to have run out of steam with values in the first three months of 2019 dropping by 2.0%. This has eaten into the significant growth experienced throughout much of 2018, however the annual growth rate remains relatively high, at 11.8% to the end of March 2019.
 
In summarising the current market and outlook, Goodall said: 
“Not much changed from the prior month in terms of property value change, however the wider property market environment holds its intrigue. The proposed ring-fencing rules relating to loss-making residential investment properties are still working their way through parliament, but if enacted will apply for the current income year (1 April 2019- 31 March 2020) so assuming they pass into law they will need to be understood by investors now (although they won’t file their tax position until next year).
 
Later this month we’ll hear the Government’s official response on the Tax Working Group’s Report, with plenty of interest in their proposals for a more comprehensive capital gains tax for residential property.
 
Within the next month we’ll also get our first real insight into the impact of the foreign buyer ban from late last year as Stats NZ release their ‘Property Transfer Statistics’ by NZ tax residency for the first quarter of 2019. We’re expecting to see confirmation of the ban’s effectiveness, which the recent reduction in sales volumes had already hinted at  - particularly in Central Auckland and Queenstown.
 
Annual change in dwelling values Provincial Centres
 
And of course - we’ll then look towards the Reserve Bank’s next OCR decision on May 8. Their foreshadowing of a cut at some stage has many economists predicting one as early as the May date and possibly even another before the year is out. 
 
All of this illustrates where our focus remains  - on the Government and Reserve Bank as opposed to the usual macro-economic factors (mostly benign) and even international pressures (due to our relative insulation at this stage). In the end, the outlook remains one of a gradual easing in property values for the rest of the year”. 
 
 
 
 
 
 

This month we review what happened to property values over the summer months and provide our take on the recommendations from the Tax Working Group.